How many confirmed cases of Monkeypox will there be in the United States by the end of 2022?
How many confirmed cases of Monkeypox will there be in the United States by the end of 2022?
Mini
0
Nov 16
33k
expected
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question will resolve as the total number of confirmed monkeypox cases in the United States at market close, according to the US CDC data.
See also this prediction on Metaculus:
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Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
What is Manifold?
Manifold lets you trade on upcoming events using play money. As other users trade against you, it creates a probability of how likely the event will happen—this is known as a prediction market.
Trade on current events, politics, tech, and AI, or create your own market about an event you care about for others to trade on!
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why should I trade?
Trading contributes to accurate answers of important, real-world questions.
Trade to win prizepoints! Redeem them and we will donate to a charity of your choice. Our users have raised over $300,000 for charity so far!
Get started for free! No credit card required.
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