"Will any new country join NATO in 2023?"
Mini
6
Ṁ140Dec 31
70%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Sweden and Finland completing the accession process would count as new countries.
This is question #11 in the Astral Codex Ten 2023 Prediction Contest. The contest rules and full list of questions are available here.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will the Nord Stream 2 pipeline be blocked or sanctioned by 2023?
36% chance
Will Russia invade Ukrainian territory in 2022?
63% chance
"Will a nuclear weapon be detonated (including tests and accidents) in 2023?"
41% chance
"Will the Supreme Court rule against affirmative action in 2023?"
62% chance
"Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan in 2023?"
54% chance
"Will an issue involving a nuclear power plant in Ukraine require evacuation of a populated area in 2023?"
63% chance
"Will there be a lasting cease-fire in the Russia-Ukraine war in 2023?"
72% chance
"Will Vladimir Putin be President of Russia at the end of 2023?"
56% chance
"Will Ukraine control the city of Sevastopol at the end of 2023?"
51% chance
"Will any other war have more casualties than Russia-Ukraine in 2023?"
37% chance