Will circular economy become mainstream in 20 years?
Will circular economy become mainstream in 20 years?
Mini
1
Ṁ5
Jun 23
48%
chance
Circular economy reshapes "ownership" of everything in the economy, while also redraws a trackable flow of everything in the economy. It is one of the solutions to a sustainable world. It is also a way for human being to mimic how nature works.
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What is Manifold?
Manifold lets you trade on upcoming events using play money. As other users trade against you, it creates a probability of how likely the event will happen—this is known as a prediction market.
Trade on current events, politics, tech, and AI, or create your own market about an event you care about for others to trade on!
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why should I trade?
Trading contributes to accurate answers of important, real-world questions.
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